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This logic says you should beat your child in case they grow up to be a violent criminal:

A self-fulfilling prophecy that precipitates the very conflict it ostensibly avoids.

Not at all. My children aren't on the path to becoming more capable than humanity. If my children are violent criminals I expect human civilization will be able to handle them. I don't have that expectation for AI.

Omega appears and tells you your child will have an probability P to be the next Mao, only conditional on the child surviving to adulthood. At which P do you drown the child?

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