It’s way too late to pretend AI won’t have an impact on programming as a profession.
Better to be excited and learn the tool as it develops than to stick your head in the sand.
A world where AI has put literally everyone “out of a job,” meanwhile, is still so far from our current reality that IMO, it’s not worth making practical day-to-day decisions on unless you are directly involved in the development or regulation of AI.
I understand your broader point, which is that progress in this space will be discontinuous and hard to see until it’s already happened.
But two years ago, GPT-3 was already astounding. ChatGPT made some pretty huge gains, and GPT4 more still, but the thing that exists today was relatively predictable, compared to a world where human effort is no longer important.
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It’s way too late to pretend AI won’t have an impact on programming as a profession.
Better to be excited and learn the tool as it develops than to stick your head in the sand.
A world where AI has put literally everyone “out of a job,” meanwhile, is still so far from our current reality that IMO, it’s not worth making practical day-to-day decisions on unless you are directly involved in the development or regulation of AI.
2 years ago something like ChatGPT (as limited as it is) was “far from our current reality”.
I think it’s worthwhile to think ahead.
I understand your broader point, which is that progress in this space will be discontinuous and hard to see until it’s already happened.
But two years ago, GPT-3 was already astounding. ChatGPT made some pretty huge gains, and GPT4 more still, but the thing that exists today was relatively predictable, compared to a world where human effort is no longer important.
That is exactly the prisoner's dilemma. Besides, I already quit being a programmer this year :)
Hey, fair enough, more power to you then. Have fun touching some grass, friend!