Fair point with the motor pump, but it seems to me that we end up on square one: it might have been better to get the pump in advance, or it might not have been better. It all depends. With the motor pump example it sounds like a no-brainer, but even there it depends. If you have a very small boat, heaving a motor pump on board might actually sink the ship.
There are all sorts of risks, and it isn't obvious when it is worthwhile to get insurance and when it isn't. One risk is never launching.
There are all sorts of risks, and it isn't obvious when it is worthwhile to get insurance and when it isn't. One risk is never launching.
Right. I'm not saying become paralyzed due to the risks. And I'm not saying do dumb things that mitigate a risk with an even bigger risk. What I'm saying is don't assume your conclusions. Things that other people might argue are important might not seem that important to you, given whatever perspective you have at the time. It is possible part of the reason they argue for using a certain practice is because they, too, didn't see it as important until they got burned hard for their presumption.
This is not to say they are important. It might be that people are just squawking to sell books or consulting hours or seats at a conference. But, to use a really dumb metaphor, if that many hens are squawking about the same thing, it might be time to look in the barn and see what all the noise is about.
Comments
Fair point with the motor pump, but it seems to me that we end up on square one: it might have been better to get the pump in advance, or it might not have been better. It all depends. With the motor pump example it sounds like a no-brainer, but even there it depends. If you have a very small boat, heaving a motor pump on board might actually sink the ship.
There are all sorts of risks, and it isn't obvious when it is worthwhile to get insurance and when it isn't. One risk is never launching.
There are all sorts of risks, and it isn't obvious when it is worthwhile to get insurance and when it isn't. One risk is never launching.
Right. I'm not saying become paralyzed due to the risks. And I'm not saying do dumb things that mitigate a risk with an even bigger risk. What I'm saying is don't assume your conclusions. Things that other people might argue are important might not seem that important to you, given whatever perspective you have at the time. It is possible part of the reason they argue for using a certain practice is because they, too, didn't see it as important until they got burned hard for their presumption.
This is not to say they are important. It might be that people are just squawking to sell books or consulting hours or seats at a conference. But, to use a really dumb metaphor, if that many hens are squawking about the same thing, it might be time to look in the barn and see what all the noise is about.
This is where experience and wisdom are supposed to come in.