Most investment newsletters I've come across showcases a significant better than 50% buy/sell recommendation success rate, that's how they get people to listen to them.
All those other guys predict non-binary scenarios. If I try to predict the result of a dice-throw by throwing a dice myself, I'll get a success-rate of exactly 1/6, but when factoring in the number of outcome scenarios, I'm doing exactly as well as the coin-tosser.
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Most investment newsletters I've come across showcases a significant better than 50% buy/sell recommendation success rate, that's how they get people to listen to them.
All those other guys predict non-binary scenarios. If I try to predict the result of a dice-throw by throwing a dice myself, I'll get a success-rate of exactly 1/6, but when factoring in the number of outcome scenarios, I'm doing exactly as well as the coin-tosser.