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Comment on How odd is a cluster of plane accidents?

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"the most likely maximum number of crashes of commercial planes with over 18 passengers in any eight-day window over 10 years is exactly three".

So if another crash occurs are we allowed start the conspiracy theories?

Only if there were no surface-to-air missiles involved.

I think some group shooting down planes with surface-to-air missiles would constitute the definition of some sort of a conspiracy. Just not a very subtle one.

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