...I wouldn't have made any connection to US housing and foreign equities, but I was looking at both, and I knew both were bubbly. I've since lost money on a few stupid trades, so it's not like I'm an expert or anything. But the fundamentals are usually clear to all. Right now, the macros on S&P PEs, long-term treasuries, and high-yield,
Comments
I had all my money in the foreign markets, and got out in late 2007 when it spiked down,
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=VEIEX&t=5y
...I wouldn't have made any connection to US housing and foreign equities, but I was looking at both, and I knew both were bubbly. I've since lost money on a few stupid trades, so it's not like I'm an expert or anything. But the fundamentals are usually clear to all. Right now, the macros on S&P PEs, long-term treasuries, and high-yield,
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=JNK&t=2y
...are clear, and they all scream "avoid". And that's the extent of my trading strategy right now.