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OK, I misinterpreted their commodity-price index. However, it is a leading indicator of inflation and as that, it seems more reasonable.

No, you actually want the _other_ CPI (consumer price index).

Historical TTM: http://inflationdata.com/inflation/Inflation_Rate/Historical...

The CPI is influenced by the political winds (e.g. right now, it rather heavily weights technology items, and down-weights fuel and food costs, which are experiencing much greater price inflation). The commodity price index might just be a better indication of actual inflationary pressures for real people.

As it affects the short term, that's a good point. I'd make the argument that CPI is a better long-term indicator but over enough time the two indexes should show the same average rate of growth.

Timr: just out of curiosity, what start-up are you working for in Seattle?

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