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Its not the math but the execution risk that is the issue.

No, it's the math, because you can't wish the execution risk away.

I'm not sure I follow you. The 'fact' that you can't wish execution risk away says nothing about "the Math". Many things do impact ~probabilities, and at the same time are not "wishes". For example, YC has an application process. They could get rid of it, but why? "You can't wish the execution risk away".

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