The article is very wrong about 1 in 4.3 billion being the odds though. That's just 1 in 2^32 which isn't even close to the correct math for figuring the odds.
Accounting for skilled handicapping, the consensus seems to be 1:1 billion odds. Maximum 10 million entries, so there's roughly a 1 in 1000 chance we'll have a legit winner (well, that would be assuming everyone played with near optimal strategies).
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Or uncaught match fixing :)
The article is very wrong about 1 in 4.3 billion being the odds though. That's just 1 in 2^32 which isn't even close to the correct math for figuring the odds.
Accounting for skilled handicapping, the consensus seems to be 1:1 billion odds. Maximum 10 million entries, so there's roughly a 1 in 1000 chance we'll have a legit winner (well, that would be assuming everyone played with near optimal strategies).