All tech companies should do this once they reach a certain maturity. Eventually every company should return capital to the markets, otherwise the markets would just be one big ponzi scheme...
I happen to agree with you re:dividends. I've been a big proponent of MSFT's dividend for years. But I'm not sure that increasing it (or share buybacks) right now is a good idea.
Microsoft is struggling to figure out their future direction in the new mobile-centric world. They've now released multiple products that are (IMO) flops. Throwing cash back to investors might be good for the short term, but its all for naught if the company is irrelevant in 10 years.
Not necessarily a good comparison, since the shares can be traded. You can step in very late and still have all the chances to get very rich, which is hardly possible with a Ponzi scheme.
A ponzi scheme is defined by the fact that the only profit to be made comes from people who buy in after you. If companies don't return capital to the markets (through dividends or buybacks), then it absolutely fits the definition of ponzi scheme.
The proper cycle of a publicly traded company is that it trades equity for capital, uses said capital to invest in itself, then returns capital when it reaches a certain maturity. Anything else is a scam.
The difference between a company and a Ponzi scheme is that the company is actually creating some value. It is converting capital into resources, priorities and processes that generate more capital than it gets. At some point it can't convert capital into more capital, so it's better to pay a dividend -- but even if it never does this, it's not a Ponzi scheme if value is being created.
A Ponzi scheme never generates more cash than it gets -- it only simulates profits.
But shares are traded because there's an assumption that the company will distribute earnings (as dividends or buybacks) eventually. Otherwise they would have little (voting rights?) or no value.
Dividends are far from the only way you can realize value as a buy-and-hold investor with infinite patience. For example, the company might be acquired in a cash-for-stock deal. (I don't hold my Microsoft shares in the hopes that someday Google or Apple will just swallow them for old time's sake, but hey, stranger things will happen as time goes to infinity.)
This means that even if your stock of choice never distributes dividends, it is essentially a non-expiring call option on participation in an eventual sale.
Comments
All tech companies should do this once they reach a certain maturity. Eventually every company should return capital to the markets, otherwise the markets would just be one big ponzi scheme...
I happen to agree with you re:dividends. I've been a big proponent of MSFT's dividend for years. But I'm not sure that increasing it (or share buybacks) right now is a good idea.
Microsoft is struggling to figure out their future direction in the new mobile-centric world. They've now released multiple products that are (IMO) flops. Throwing cash back to investors might be good for the short term, but its all for naught if the company is irrelevant in 10 years.
Not necessarily a good comparison, since the shares can be traded. You can step in very late and still have all the chances to get very rich, which is hardly possible with a Ponzi scheme.
A ponzi scheme is defined by the fact that the only profit to be made comes from people who buy in after you. If companies don't return capital to the markets (through dividends or buybacks), then it absolutely fits the definition of ponzi scheme.
The proper cycle of a publicly traded company is that it trades equity for capital, uses said capital to invest in itself, then returns capital when it reaches a certain maturity. Anything else is a scam.
Or the company is bought out for cash, as in the case of Dell, or bought by another company for cash and/or shares.
No company goes public with the intention of being bought out.
And the entity that's buying the company does so with the intention of distributing the profits (to themselves).
The difference between a company and a Ponzi scheme is that the company is actually creating some value. It is converting capital into resources, priorities and processes that generate more capital than it gets. At some point it can't convert capital into more capital, so it's better to pay a dividend -- but even if it never does this, it's not a Ponzi scheme if value is being created.
A Ponzi scheme never generates more cash than it gets -- it only simulates profits.
But shares are traded because there's an assumption that the company will distribute earnings (as dividends or buybacks) eventually. Otherwise they would have little (voting rights?) or no value.
Dividends are far from the only way you can realize value as a buy-and-hold investor with infinite patience. For example, the company might be acquired in a cash-for-stock deal. (I don't hold my Microsoft shares in the hopes that someday Google or Apple will just swallow them for old time's sake, but hey, stranger things will happen as time goes to infinity.)
This means that even if your stock of choice never distributes dividends, it is essentially a non-expiring call option on participation in an eventual sale.
Getting into a Ponzi scheme late is okay, so long as you still get out early (before it becomes apparent that it is a Ponzi scheme).