Doesn't a car typically break down at least once every 33 service years or so, too? For that matter, I wouldn't be too surprised if 1/33 cars crashed each year (or significantly higher than that), so I think that the 787 is still looking pretty reliable in comparison. (maybe not in comparison to a 747, but that's a different argument)
I'd like to nitpick that "magnitudes" depends on your base. Base 10 is commonly used, though base e is probably more accurate. So if 33/e^2 == 4.46 incidents happen, I'd probably call it "magnitudes".
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Doesn't a car typically break down at least once every 33 service years or so, too? For that matter, I wouldn't be too surprised if 1/33 cars crashed each year (or significantly higher than that), so I think that the 787 is still looking pretty reliable in comparison. (maybe not in comparison to a 747, but that's a different argument)
For a car to be "magnitudes" worse (which is the claim being made) the mishap rate would have to be at least every 0.33 service years.
I'd like to nitpick that "magnitudes" depends on your base. Base 10 is commonly used, though base e is probably more accurate. So if 33/e^2 == 4.46 incidents happen, I'd probably call it "magnitudes".
4 years per accident sounds reasonable.
Wow, I'd say that was terrible. 16 years and one crash for me I don't consider myself better than average at all.