These articles are fun to read for those hackers that are also basketball fans. That being said, I don't entirely agree with the author's reasoning. E.g., the author mentions reasons why a player is more likely to miss a shot after making one, but fails to go through a real analysis of "hotness".
Making one shot does not qualify a player as being hot by any definition that I've ever heard. So, what are the stats after making 2, 3, 4 shots? Does the likelihood of making the next shot rise after making several shots in a row? There are several other questions I would ask that would be more convincing to prove or disprove the effect of being hot.
Some of the comments below the article have interesting criticisms.
I've really enjoyed all of this recent coverage about the MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference. If you're looking for more, Bill Simmons does a pretty good job discussing this. And if you see anything else, please submit to HN. :)
I submitted http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=515342 a while ago and got no love. I was sad that no one here had an interest in sports, but it turns out I was wrong. :)
Lately, too, I've been thinking how a lot of this could be applied to the NHL. :)
Comments
These articles are fun to read for those hackers that are also basketball fans. That being said, I don't entirely agree with the author's reasoning. E.g., the author mentions reasons why a player is more likely to miss a shot after making one, but fails to go through a real analysis of "hotness".
Making one shot does not qualify a player as being hot by any definition that I've ever heard. So, what are the stats after making 2, 3, 4 shots? Does the likelihood of making the next shot rise after making several shots in a row? There are several other questions I would ask that would be more convincing to prove or disprove the effect of being hot.
Some of the comments below the article have interesting criticisms.
I've really enjoyed all of this recent coverage about the MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference. If you're looking for more, Bill Simmons does a pretty good job discussing this. And if you see anything else, please submit to HN. :)
I submitted http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=515342 a while ago and got no love. I was sad that no one here had an interest in sports, but it turns out I was wrong. :)
Lately, too, I've been thinking how a lot of this could be applied to the NHL. :)