Thanks for that. I'm really interested in where the fundamental limits are. Already on the machine I'm writing this on (65nm core 2 duo), the transistors are on the order of 100 atoms long, so clearly the limits of 2D transistor density are already closing in rapidly. From there, there's frequency, efficient design (i.e. actual computing power per transistor - multicore design, stream processors etc) and 3D, so there's a lot more to improve.
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IMHO this is not one of his better talks. Much better just to read the book. It's 500 pages but it's a very fast read. Lots of pretty graphs also.
Some criticism of Kurzweil's book, The Singularity Is Near: [http://ourworld.compuserve.com/homepages/tmodis/Kurzweil.htm]
Thanks for that. I'm really interested in where the fundamental limits are. Already on the machine I'm writing this on (65nm core 2 duo), the transistors are on the order of 100 atoms long, so clearly the limits of 2D transistor density are already closing in rapidly. From there, there's frequency, efficient design (i.e. actual computing power per transistor - multicore design, stream processors etc) and 3D, so there's a lot more to improve.
They're big pages though! I could only get through the first 200. Does he say anything particularly important in the last 300 pages?