The singularity prediction relies on a trend of technological advances that is ever increasing. The only thing it forgets is that resources are not infinite. Hey, bacteria on a plate grow exponentially, but eventually they run out of resources and just die.
Which makes for another interesting issue. Some Packlid may be reading this and thinking, "What do you mean "we" human?" Kurzweil may still (already) be proven right, whether we make it happen or not. Just some whimsy for thought.
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The singularity prediction relies on a trend of technological advances that is ever increasing. The only thing it forgets is that resources are not infinite. Hey, bacteria on a plate grow exponentially, but eventually they run out of resources and just die.
Maybe the universe is a closed system, but reaching the "Singularity" before we reach maximum entropy is probably more likely.
Our "plate" is probably not all of the known universe. We may never leave this solar system.
Which makes for another interesting issue. Some Packlid may be reading this and thinking, "What do you mean "we" human?" Kurzweil may still (already) be proven right, whether we make it happen or not. Just some whimsy for thought.
What makes you think that?
Charles Stross, a science fiction writer, has an interesting essay about the difficulties involved: http://www.antipope.org/charlie/blog-static/2007/06/the_high...
His conclusion is that it's unlikely, and I agree.