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Comment on Bernie's AI bill proposes to sentence AI developers to 20 years in prison

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How do we stop china and russia from developing it? How come nobody seems to be talking about the obvious international treaty that would be necessary to actually ban superintelligence from being developed? At least we can deliberate some kind of enforcement mechanism in the process...

Plenty of people are discussing that.

By international agreement, obviously. There are tons of international agreements to regulate all sorts of things. It's generally a pretty good way to prevent a race to the bottom. Or in this case, a potential race to the end of the world.

to the end of the world

Or, if things go well, ending a long very bad chapter.

Why would China - or worse, Russia - sign any treaty with the US that'd make them worse off if they actually follow through?

How would it make them worse off? If everybody agrees that AI is a threat to humanity, but also a possible edge over rivals, then the threat should be enough reason to get everybody to agree.

There are international agreements on tons of things that work the same way.

The biggest problem is that the US has shown not trustable when it comes to treaty. You can have a treaty with the US but the US can just use Israel or some other proxy to do the advance research and development for them..

Why would they trust the US to honour anything they sign? Look how Trump has ignored the trade deal he signed with Canada.

Irrelevant. Let them - it brings negative value.

Two things I would say. One: nuclear non-proliferation has been pretty successful; we can use a similar model for AI.

Two, China's major motivation for developing competitive AI isn't to reap the benefits from an an important new technology. It's to undermine the economic development of the West and make them even more dependent upon the CCP. It's an extension of the policy that's made us dependent on Chinese labor and manufacturing: win on the economics by any means necessary, wait for the other producers to die, enshittify (extract geopolitical concessions, in this case).

nuclear non-proliferation has been pretty successful; we can use a similar model for AI.

Development of nuclear weapons has continued, and a lot of effort goes into developing delivery systems.

A number of countries have acquired nuclear weapons over the years: India, Pakistan, Israel, South Africa, North Korea. More countries have kept their options open and could develop nuclear weapons if needed.

One: nuclear non-proliferation has been pretty successful

A number of non adequately reliable actors owning "the bomb" and a number of threatened actors increasingly wanting "the bomb". Not really.

This is relative to something like every nation owning nuclear weapons by 1960 and civil wars usually beginning with a nuclear strike by a standing government.

Nuclear proliferation is not proper in context. The bill in question in the submission is not about preserving a status quo, it is about banning the technology.

A ban on technology results in underground research, migration of intellectuals, monopolies, seething parties...

I didn't say the challenges would be the same.. You just indicated they were worthwhile for anyone who believes the anthropic principle is why they haven't seen a world with no nuclear treaties decades later.

nuclear non-proliferation has been pretty successful;

I'm assuming your bar of success takes in account that 8-9 nation states have nukes. So it follows that 8-9 nation states should have ASI.

Oh, that's easy. Bernie will pick 11 volunteers and together they will be dropped off behind enemy lines. Let's call them "the Dirty Dozen". They will capture the evil bastards who violated American law outside of US borders (that's just evil) and bring them to Justice™ (Impossible is nothing. Call 1-800-JUSTICE. Conditions apply).

the obvious international treaty

That's even easier. We just take the international treaty on cloud computing as a base and...

Make it international law and bomb anyone who doesn’t comply

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