I'm not worried about a future LLM being better, or even inventing some true AGI or ASI. I am worried about current, even last-year, models being applied by evil actors. Let's go through some things that already-existing models can do extremely well:
1) Build a very accurate profile of anyone (given what governments plus advertisers have on everyone already) and what they believe, love, fear, etc.
2) Pilot drones.
3) Identify faces, gaits, vehicles, signals.
4) Hack most anything.
5) Customize content for specific audiences.
6) Find needles in haystacks ("here are feeds from various sensors, tell me when something interesting happens").
7) Generate fake images and videos.
8) Swarm forums with fake accounts (or hacked accounts, see above).
9) Tell powerful people that they're absolutely right.
10) Do homework for kids.
Honestly I hope ASI happens, at least there's a chance it'll be good. None of the above has any chance to be good. Maybe the needle in a haystack one, like "find me a cure for cancer", but that's about it.
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I'm not worried about a future LLM being better, or even inventing some true AGI or ASI. I am worried about current, even last-year, models being applied by evil actors. Let's go through some things that already-existing models can do extremely well:
1) Build a very accurate profile of anyone (given what governments plus advertisers have on everyone already) and what they believe, love, fear, etc. 2) Pilot drones. 3) Identify faces, gaits, vehicles, signals. 4) Hack most anything. 5) Customize content for specific audiences. 6) Find needles in haystacks ("here are feeds from various sensors, tell me when something interesting happens"). 7) Generate fake images and videos. 8) Swarm forums with fake accounts (or hacked accounts, see above). 9) Tell powerful people that they're absolutely right. 10) Do homework for kids.
Honestly I hope ASI happens, at least there's a chance it'll be good. None of the above has any chance to be good. Maybe the needle in a haystack one, like "find me a cure for cancer", but that's about it.