I think that software team size per product (how ever you define that) are going to continue to shrink over the next 3 years. You will only need a single product designer/developer/manager per small product eventually.
That said, we will ship a lot more products that will partially make up for that per-product team size shrinkage.
You also end up with a single point of failure.
They leave, go on vacation, hit by a bus, etc. and they take every undocumented and tribal knowledge with them.
Maybe you need a team of product managers/devs/designers then managing a set of apps? So while the ratio is roughly 1:1 for people to apps, you have that redundancy you want.
I Mean if ai was ready to automate the workforce it would have been done already, logically and statistically speaking the first few people are bound to fail before the penultimate front runners will be the real winners.
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I think that Meta was just too early.
I think that software team size per product (how ever you define that) are going to continue to shrink over the next 3 years. You will only need a single product designer/developer/manager per small product eventually.
That said, we will ship a lot more products that will partially make up for that per-product team size shrinkage.
You also end up with a single point of failure. They leave, go on vacation, hit by a bus, etc. and they take every undocumented and tribal knowledge with them.
Maybe you need a team of product managers/devs/designers then managing a set of apps? So while the ratio is roughly 1:1 for people to apps, you have that redundancy you want.
I Mean if ai was ready to automate the workforce it would have been done already, logically and statistically speaking the first few people are bound to fail before the penultimate front runners will be the real winners.
They won’t even need managers, just watch.