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I would expect that China would activate their dormant ICS and telco access in such a circumstance to knock the US out of the conflict basically immediately

If they could do this, wouldn't they already have moved on Taiwan?

What makes you say that? The cost to China to invade will still be incredible with zero US intervention. Wsj had an article last December <https://www.wsj.com/world/china/how-china-chinese-invasion-t...> on what this might look like

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