Gary Marcus is perennially wrong/dangerous/stupid, AI is really good, and a pause is terrible for everyone.
Sam Altman can be a bad person (ask his sister about him!) and deserves to go down yada yada without us needing to try to kill the goose which is about to fling us into a golden age.
There is a possibility of a golden age. We have no idea if that will happen. You’re lying to yourself if you take it as a certainty.
The situation is that we have to face a bet that is forced upon humanity by a few actors: in all cases we know there will be a very high cost to current society, there is some chances that we get some benefits.
You cannot think about the situation if you decide to set a probability of golden to 1, and ignore the externalities, risks, and direct negative impacts.
It’s an insane risk to go all-in with, but that’s what the AI cultists want.
Honestly you shouldn’t be close to any form of decision making if you cannot have such a basic level of analysis
Humans refuse to use negative utilitarnaistic thinking anywhere else, so why should I have to start now? The logical conclusion of the precautionary principle is literally antinatalism.
I assign the probability of extremely good outcomes as being overwhelmingly likely. The amount of harm done is a necessary part of it and is acceptable in much the same way that the additional gun crime as a result of the 2nd amendment is.
Every disease uncured, every amount of work done that was unnecessary, was an affront to human dignity. I want the machine god and I wanted it yesterday.
I am finding that the world is and likely will continue to be full of carbon-chauvinists for a long time.
If you harm people who live now in the process, then you are just cartoon evil. Hey, lets speed up global warming with fires and all ... so you can naybe have god and make people obsolete.
You dont get to wave utopic vision and loose ethical obligations.
Comments
Gary Marcus is perennially wrong/dangerous/stupid, AI is really good, and a pause is terrible for everyone.
Sam Altman can be a bad person (ask his sister about him!) and deserves to go down yada yada without us needing to try to kill the goose which is about to fling us into a golden age.
We could halt every AI datacenter tomorrow and it would not impact those of us using local GPUs in any way. Cloud AI is a dead end.
I prefer not to be flung.
There is a possibility of a golden age. We have no idea if that will happen. You’re lying to yourself if you take it as a certainty.
The situation is that we have to face a bet that is forced upon humanity by a few actors: in all cases we know there will be a very high cost to current society, there is some chances that we get some benefits.
You cannot think about the situation if you decide to set a probability of golden to 1, and ignore the externalities, risks, and direct negative impacts.
It’s an insane risk to go all-in with, but that’s what the AI cultists want.
Honestly you shouldn’t be close to any form of decision making if you cannot have such a basic level of analysis
Humans refuse to use negative utilitarnaistic thinking anywhere else, so why should I have to start now? The logical conclusion of the precautionary principle is literally antinatalism.
I assign the probability of extremely good outcomes as being overwhelmingly likely. The amount of harm done is a necessary part of it and is acceptable in much the same way that the additional gun crime as a result of the 2nd amendment is.
Every disease uncured, every amount of work done that was unnecessary, was an affront to human dignity. I want the machine god and I wanted it yesterday.
I am finding that the world is and likely will continue to be full of carbon-chauvinists for a long time.
If you harm people who live now in the process, then you are just cartoon evil. Hey, lets speed up global warming with fires and all ... so you can naybe have god and make people obsolete.
You dont get to wave utopic vision and loose ethical obligations.