I think that technologies will continue to commoditize and arrive at the global mean (median?), so the need for accountants to have the vocabulary just disappear. They will say what they want and it will be coded, deployed, with CDNs and firewalls and whatnot, the domains will be bought. We are not that far from this state already.
So, I don't buy this Jevons paradox idea for software engineering. I think these explanations that as the software development process becomes more efficient, the need for software developers will increase is incorrect in the context of LLM adoption. Instead, I think it should be phrased as the LLMs become more efficient and widespread, the need for LLMs will increase. Reduction in developer demand will be tangential.
And I am saying this wishing this wasn't true being a developer myself.
Comments
I think that technologies will continue to commoditize and arrive at the global mean (median?), so the need for accountants to have the vocabulary just disappear. They will say what they want and it will be coded, deployed, with CDNs and firewalls and whatnot, the domains will be bought. We are not that far from this state already.
So, I don't buy this Jevons paradox idea for software engineering. I think these explanations that as the software development process becomes more efficient, the need for software developers will increase is incorrect in the context of LLM adoption. Instead, I think it should be phrased as the LLMs become more efficient and widespread, the need for LLMs will increase. Reduction in developer demand will be tangential.
And I am saying this wishing this wasn't true being a developer myself.