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Three quarters of my CS class at university could barely code and/or understand code.

That’s not a joke. A lot went on to be programmers professionally. And judging by the quality of closed & open source code I witness daily those figures from university accurately depict people’s capabilities.

Now that said, if you can’t really code then using AI will be a godsend to said individuals.

I'd say that is the problem we're observing. A lot of decent code is being written with weird inconsistencies, because it's actually written by AI driven by people who don't really understand what they're doing.

the tell-tale mark of AI code is highly over-engineered local solutions to trivial problems that don't matter, or that were already solved better elsewhere and that no sane human would ever duplicate.

Fair, but I fear that now even more people who can't code will code, and code that is not any better than what people who could barely code write. Growing cabbages starting to look more and more interesting.

Mixtral (a small local model) was churning out better code in fall 2023 that what an incompetent programmer would produce. Am sure others models could as well. It had severe limitations with tiny context and blind spots but still you'd never see it doing the kind of terrors a hack of a developer would do.

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