This is basically equivalent from a credit risk perspective, the banks don’t really care what % is interest vs. principal.
That seems counterintuitive. Someone carrying a growing balance at $5K making the minimum payment is obviously not the same kind of risk as someone who spends $5K/month on their credit card and then pays it off.
The credit bureaus take this into account: 30+ day delinquency is reported and will plummet your score. Not paying debt is worse than just having debt. But even having a high debt ratio means you're at-risk of not paying, so that lowers your score.
Utilization is really a proxy: the assumption is that your credit limit is adjusted to your income. If you're at 50% utilization, even if you pay off on time every time, that indicates, to them, you have a high debt to income ratio. So, if you get into financial hardship, you're more likely to not be able to pay.
The wrinkle is that credit limit is not really adjusted to income. You need to manage it yourself, and request limit raises when your income increases. You also need to have enough lines of credit to boost your limits. People think opening credit cards hurts your score, and it can, but often doesn't as your utilization goes down.
Of course this all assumes you're responsible. If you're not, then opening more credit cards is always a mistake. If you're really irresponsible, then skip credit cards altogether.
But that only kicks in when someone misses a payment. Someone who can only make the minimum (typically 1% in my experience) is at much higher risk of getting to that missed payment stage. Wouldn't you want to reflect that risk before they finally reach a more dramatic demonstration of over-extension?
If you’re only making a minimum payment consistently lower than your monthly spend + interest, your utilization will go up very quickly and you’ll look like a credit risk. This pattern is also not sustainable for the consumer; eventually they’ll hit their credit limit.
On the other hand, if you’re consistently maxing out your credit cards, you also look like a credit risk even if to date you’ve paid every month in full and on time. The bank sets credit limits based on what they see as a safe maximum given your credit history & income, so riding what’s supposed to be a maximum is worrisome.
The difference is that the bank will let you keep doing the latter indefinitely, they just won’t be as like to grant you any new credit.
As for why banks don’t want to flag low-utilization, minimum-payment accounts earlier, I assume they’re just not a serious problem: Truly marginal users eventually default and get their cards deactivated at little cost to the bank, others who use the cards only on “special occasions” and pay out over time at unfortunate levels of interest make them money.
So the metric GP is after is credit used per credit user? Normalizing the effect of an increase in credit users, and not assuming it's uniformly distributed.
Seems simpler to just publish the delinquent debt separately.
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The credit bureaus score based on the % of credit you use (and of course that you pay on time).
This is basically equivalent from a credit risk perspective, the banks don’t really care what % is interest vs. principal.
That seems counterintuitive. Someone carrying a growing balance at $5K making the minimum payment is obviously not the same kind of risk as someone who spends $5K/month on their credit card and then pays it off.
The credit bureaus take this into account: 30+ day delinquency is reported and will plummet your score. Not paying debt is worse than just having debt. But even having a high debt ratio means you're at-risk of not paying, so that lowers your score.
Utilization is really a proxy: the assumption is that your credit limit is adjusted to your income. If you're at 50% utilization, even if you pay off on time every time, that indicates, to them, you have a high debt to income ratio. So, if you get into financial hardship, you're more likely to not be able to pay.
The wrinkle is that credit limit is not really adjusted to income. You need to manage it yourself, and request limit raises when your income increases. You also need to have enough lines of credit to boost your limits. People think opening credit cards hurts your score, and it can, but often doesn't as your utilization goes down.
Of course this all assumes you're responsible. If you're not, then opening more credit cards is always a mistake. If you're really irresponsible, then skip credit cards altogether.
But that only kicks in when someone misses a payment. Someone who can only make the minimum (typically 1% in my experience) is at much higher risk of getting to that missed payment stage. Wouldn't you want to reflect that risk before they finally reach a more dramatic demonstration of over-extension?
If you’re only making a minimum payment consistently lower than your monthly spend + interest, your utilization will go up very quickly and you’ll look like a credit risk. This pattern is also not sustainable for the consumer; eventually they’ll hit their credit limit.
On the other hand, if you’re consistently maxing out your credit cards, you also look like a credit risk even if to date you’ve paid every month in full and on time. The bank sets credit limits based on what they see as a safe maximum given your credit history & income, so riding what’s supposed to be a maximum is worrisome.
The difference is that the bank will let you keep doing the latter indefinitely, they just won’t be as like to grant you any new credit.
As for why banks don’t want to flag low-utilization, minimum-payment accounts earlier, I assume they’re just not a serious problem: Truly marginal users eventually default and get their cards deactivated at little cost to the bank, others who use the cards only on “special occasions” and pay out over time at unfortunate levels of interest make them money.
Growing balance = greater % of credit used.
So the metric GP is after is credit used per credit user? Normalizing the effect of an increase in credit users, and not assuming it's uniformly distributed.
Seems simpler to just publish the delinquent debt separately.
Consumer credit % used of credit available.
I mean you might also think the banks are issuing a bunch of dumb credit, but that suggests a problem with their financial state, not consumers.