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This seems like a know your audience situation.

However, in a world of commodity AI models, can simply use a model from an AI provider that does not watermark. Or download any open source model and run it themselves

That's seems above the skill of the majority of the population that might be tempted at using generative text. I'm thinking of students trying to "write" a paper, or any of the myriad of other things people are blissfully unaware of how genAI works that are using it every day. For those people, that just use the default prompt to blindly copy/paste away. For techy nerd types running from CLI, yeah, they could simply use a different model.

Don't underestimate the whisper network of children. It only takes one to realize that Claude gets caught every time, but super paper writer.example.com flies under the teacher's radar.

With a strong enough regulatory framework, we probably could suppress unlisenced providers and non-watermarking local harnesses to the point where bypassing them would take some technical know-how. However, I do not think there is anywhere near the political will for such a regime.

again, that's a far cry from each of those kids installing a model to run under cli. you're describing someone else creating a simple UI to use instead of the other models

Don't underestimate kids trying to pull one over the adults.

Yeah if kids are sufficiently motivated all it takes is one vial YouTube tutorial.

Sure but with how many people who use AI without disclosing that they are... and the profit incentive it'd only need one person to make a chat focused on non-watermarking that makes it trivial.

Im pretty sure said services already exist, making it so your writing doesnt sound or look like AI... but the real problem is surprisingly that we don't even care if the output is AI

I imagine at least one enterprising kid figuring out to ask Claude "I have a macOS/Windows computer, walk me through the steps to install and run an open source AI"

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