Interesting perspective. Things are definitely going to change and open weight will have a huge impact in the US as token costs are way to high now.
Definite impacts to Anthropic/OpenAI but let's not forget Meta and Grok are out there too and same with Gemini.
Infrastructure costs - great points. Are we really going to have datacenters in space? If so, what will be overall cost structure with launch being the new cost factor but basically eliminating power and cooling. If it does work and takes off, what about all those expensive data centers on earth that were built and are being built. I do not see much discussion on this but probably because it's not a definite data centers in space will happen and by when. Musk has done unbelievable things but usually not on his original timelines but years further out.
I haven't properly thought through the thermal engineering problems here but cooling a data center in the vacuum of space seems like a hard thing to solve.
There are plenty of computers on the ISS and on satellites in space, but nothing on the same scale of compute and density.
Comments
Interesting perspective. Things are definitely going to change and open weight will have a huge impact in the US as token costs are way to high now. Definite impacts to Anthropic/OpenAI but let's not forget Meta and Grok are out there too and same with Gemini.
Infrastructure costs - great points. Are we really going to have datacenters in space? If so, what will be overall cost structure with launch being the new cost factor but basically eliminating power and cooling. If it does work and takes off, what about all those expensive data centers on earth that were built and are being built. I do not see much discussion on this but probably because it's not a definite data centers in space will happen and by when. Musk has done unbelievable things but usually not on his original timelines but years further out.
I haven't properly thought through the thermal engineering problems here but cooling a data center in the vacuum of space seems like a hard thing to solve.
There are plenty of computers on the ISS and on satellites in space, but nothing on the same scale of compute and density.
The new thing is data centers in the ocean.
https://www.ycombinator.com/rfs#compute-at-sea