Predicting that everything will be sunshine and rainbows merely because the sky hasn't fallen yet doesn't pass the sniff test
I’m not predicting it will be fine. I’m saying we have enough evidence to cast the opposite prediction, made on specific timescales in the past, as BS.
I'm not following your logic here. Are you basing your predictions on the predictions of CEOs?
If I understand you correctly you are saying, CEOs predicted X and they were wrong. Now CEOs are predicting Y, and since they were wrong about X you predict they are also wrong about Y.
But Y's success seems independent of other people's ability to predict X?
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I’m not predicting it will be fine. I’m saying we have enough evidence to cast the opposite prediction, made on specific timescales in the past, as BS.
I'm not following your logic here. Are you basing your predictions on the predictions of CEOs?
If I understand you correctly you are saying, CEOs predicted X and they were wrong. Now CEOs are predicting Y, and since they were wrong about X you predict they are also wrong about Y.
But Y's success seems independent of other people's ability to predict X?