No serious mathematical model that I am aware of has been made as to how LLMs have the potential to grow exponentially in intelligence or has any one show how the application of open source based knowledge (i.e. the training corpus) is a novel "threat" sufficient to require government regulation which conveniently protects incumbents "moats." Instead we got the lesswrong scifi religious treatises. Do we take regulatory advice from scientology too?
The low level foundations of intelligence, both human and machine, are just not well understood in general. It's totally plausible that different architectures could be capable of superintelligence at far fewer parameters than current LLMs. We just don't know.
All we have to go on is the empirical trajectory, and I can see reasonable arguments either way.
this assumes general intelligence as an abstract principle vs an adapation to specific constraints is even a thing. we also dont have a low level understanding of how many angels can dance on the head of a pin.
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No serious mathematical model that I am aware of has been made as to how LLMs have the potential to grow exponentially in intelligence or has any one show how the application of open source based knowledge (i.e. the training corpus) is a novel "threat" sufficient to require government regulation which conveniently protects incumbents "moats." Instead we got the lesswrong scifi religious treatises. Do we take regulatory advice from scientology too?
The low level foundations of intelligence, both human and machine, are just not well understood in general. It's totally plausible that different architectures could be capable of superintelligence at far fewer parameters than current LLMs. We just don't know.
All we have to go on is the empirical trajectory, and I can see reasonable arguments either way.
this assumes general intelligence as an abstract principle vs an adapation to specific constraints is even a thing. we also dont have a low level understanding of how many angels can dance on the head of a pin.