Yeah, words that rarely age well. But AI isn’t like the web. It is more like the transistor. Or the internet (i.e. the protocol). Or like the first printing press.
Or even cells going multi-cellular, emergence of nerve cells, ganglions, brains.
It is a step change in the life of information. Non-substrate locked information, approaching an ability to improve itself isn’t a phase. it isn’t an adoption S-curve.
It is too fundamental, and has too many paths leading forward, by organizations and individuals, to ever be as simple as a bubble.
There may well be turbulence. But any computing power overhang created by over investment in one segment will get quickly absorbed by another segment. So there may be train wrecks, but the industry as a whole is going to thrive.
The problems I see are the unlimited downstream disruption of AI on everything else. Everything else. But for AI itself, the future is bright.
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I think this time is different.
Yeah, words that rarely age well. But AI isn’t like the web. It is more like the transistor. Or the internet (i.e. the protocol). Or like the first printing press.
Or even cells going multi-cellular, emergence of nerve cells, ganglions, brains.
It is a step change in the life of information. Non-substrate locked information, approaching an ability to improve itself isn’t a phase. it isn’t an adoption S-curve.
It is too fundamental, and has too many paths leading forward, by organizations and individuals, to ever be as simple as a bubble.
There may well be turbulence. But any computing power overhang created by over investment in one segment will get quickly absorbed by another segment. So there may be train wrecks, but the industry as a whole is going to thrive.
The problems I see are the unlimited downstream disruption of AI on everything else. Everything else. But for AI itself, the future is bright.