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Comment on Eric Raymond: The sound of empire falling

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For once Eric gets it wrong (IMHO). "The death of Windows has been greatly exagerated".

He basically assumes that Microsoft will do $0 in revenue soon, which is so unrealistic that it destroys the whole argument.

What's funny of course is that if you believed in his argument that a recession will hurt OS companies that charge too much for an OS, then Apple should be in even worse shape than Microsoft. Not quite.

Eric fell in the tempting fallacy of drawing two points on a chart and assuming that you can draw a line to extrapolate. Linux is free and growing, Microsoft charges money and is losing ground. Therefore eventually Microsoft will die. Now try to add Apple to that chart and see how well extrpolation works...

"For once"?!

"Apple should be in even worse shape than Microsoft"

Bean-counters usually don't buy, usually. You should compare a recession effects on PCs and Macs with the effects on Hondas and Porsches.

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