Comment on What if A.I. doesn't get better than this?parentComments−rudedogg1yAll that feels like specialized stunts like IBM’s Watson beating Ken Jennings at Jeopardy.The rate of improvement has slowed significantly. And chasing benchmarks is making everything worse IMO. Opus 4.1 is worse than Sonnet 3.7 to me :/.I think the future will be:1. Ads and quantization/routing to chase profits2. Local models start taking over. New companies will slide in without the huge losses and provide what Claude/OpenAI do today at reasonable margins3. Apple/Google eat up lots of the market by shipping good-enough models with iOS/Android
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All that feels like specialized stunts like IBM’s Watson beating Ken Jennings at Jeopardy.
The rate of improvement has slowed significantly. And chasing benchmarks is making everything worse IMO. Opus 4.1 is worse than Sonnet 3.7 to me :/.
I think the future will be:
1. Ads and quantization/routing to chase profits
2. Local models start taking over. New companies will slide in without the huge losses and provide what Claude/OpenAI do today at reasonable margins
3. Apple/Google eat up lots of the market by shipping good-enough models with iOS/Android