When you hear the AI folks screaming about "AGI" (Which is a scam), this is what they are really talking about.
The problem is that there will be less jobs and it won't recover and nothing to replace those lost jobs. Not even "UBI", which is unsustainable at a larger scale and really doesn't work at all.
Remember when the whole industry also was screaming about Jevon's paradox? Well, as AI gets more efficient, it benefits the LLM providers (not you) and creates more job-destroying AI (not more jobs). It enriches AI use-cases for companies that own LLMs or the systems that run them to keep you out of a job.
Even if 1 job is available, a growing list of candidates per job to compete and will just continue to increase.
You see, I hope you realized that the bullsh*t in AI, over-valuations and the the rapid race to zero are all factors that have not only caused this decline in SWE jobs, but will also cause a crash like it's the year 2000 + another AI winter.
Right now we are in late 1999 and just need a new surprise to reset the industry. Likely to happen before 2030.
So I'd prepare for that and you are 5 years early to do so before the "intelligence age" advances far into 2030, which is the dealine. [0]
I can't wait for the next AI winter. I've got my coat ready for when everyone realizes the hype train they've jumped on is headed straight off a cliff.
For those looking to pester me with sealioning & strawmen arguments, I'm not interested. This is unsustainable and will come crashing down. If you have a retort locked & loaded, save it for 5-10 years & come back, we can discuss if this was another Silicon Valley snake oil frenzy or the real deal once every company overleveraged on AI has crashed & the rubble pile has stopped smoking.
This has nothing to do with AI, this is us letting capital benefit from the infrastructure our taxes pay for while sending the jobs that generate them to India. It’s short sighted bullshit, but hey, stock go up
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When you hear the AI folks screaming about "AGI" (Which is a scam), this is what they are really talking about.
The problem is that there will be less jobs and it won't recover and nothing to replace those lost jobs. Not even "UBI", which is unsustainable at a larger scale and really doesn't work at all.
Remember when the whole industry also was screaming about Jevon's paradox? Well, as AI gets more efficient, it benefits the LLM providers (not you) and creates more job-destroying AI (not more jobs). It enriches AI use-cases for companies that own LLMs or the systems that run them to keep you out of a job.
Even if 1 job is available, a growing list of candidates per job to compete and will just continue to increase.
You see, I hope you realized that the bullsh*t in AI, over-valuations and the the rapid race to zero are all factors that have not only caused this decline in SWE jobs, but will also cause a crash like it's the year 2000 + another AI winter.
Right now we are in late 1999 and just need a new surprise to reset the industry. Likely to happen before 2030.
So I'd prepare for that and you are 5 years early to do so before the "intelligence age" advances far into 2030, which is the dealine. [0]
[0] https://www.weforum.org/publications/the-future-of-jobs-repo...
I can't wait for the next AI winter. I've got my coat ready for when everyone realizes the hype train they've jumped on is headed straight off a cliff.
For those looking to pester me with sealioning & strawmen arguments, I'm not interested. This is unsustainable and will come crashing down. If you have a retort locked & loaded, save it for 5-10 years & come back, we can discuss if this was another Silicon Valley snake oil frenzy or the real deal once every company overleveraged on AI has crashed & the rubble pile has stopped smoking.
This has nothing to do with AI, this is us letting capital benefit from the infrastructure our taxes pay for while sending the jobs that generate them to India. It’s short sighted bullshit, but hey, stock go up