Skip to content

Comment on Open AI in Trouble

Comments

These are powerful building blocks, they're just not the be all end all. The building blocks up stack that use these as part of a broader architecture, that shape these and many other traditional techniques in software... this is where the real value will be unlocked.

This layer itself will inevitably see its cost come down per unit of use on a long road towards commoditization. It will probably get better and better and more sophisticated but again the value will be primarily up stack, not accrued primarily from a company like this. It's not to say they couldn't be a great company... even Google is a great company that has enabled countless other companies to bloom. The myopic way people look to these one size fit all companies is just so disconnected from our economy works.

It took us nearly 70 years to get to this architecture and the processing power to support it.

If we are waiting for a new breakthrough architecture, it could be decades. Our brains send signals with very high concurrency to individual processors (neurons). Each neuron is massively more complex than a single ReLU function and we have billions of them. If we need that kind of parallel processing and data transfer to match human thought and flexibility, it could be another 70 years before we see AGI.

That said, I do think LLMs are one of the biggest AI breakthroughs since the inception of AI. And I am sure that it, or something very similar will be part of an eventual AGI.

These are powerful building blocks, they're just not the be all end all. The building blocks up stack that use these as part of a broader architecture, that shape these and many other traditional techniques in software... this is where the real value will be unlocked.

I could not agree more. There is much value still to be gained from blockchain technology!

What's useful about blockchain? (Outside of situations where you need to move money outside the law)

AboutSource Built by g1lg1l

Hackerly is an independent reader for Hacker News, built on the public HN API. Not affiliated with Y Combinator.