This attitude neglects the nature of the professional development pipeline, and the front-loaded benefits companies receive from preferential debt so they don't have to react immediately to issues (they are decoupled).
The entry level tasks are tasks that are supervised by the mid to senior level people for correctness. Institutional knowledge and skills are passed on in these positions.
The tasks while simple, can be very easily solved in most cases at this level by AI. AI can easily replace these positions instead of having people.
In effect though, it removes any new people from entering that developmental pipeline. In so doing you remove the demand for such people lowering ROI, and create an economic incentive to not develop new people in that area, and this applies to everywhere that AI touches.
In the 3-year shelf life the business benefits from the reduction of labor costs.
The company can persist for a time thanks to financial engineering, but within 5-10 years, costs explode, demand for the mid to senior positions explodes because the pool of labor shrinks as people age out and die.
AI cannot replace the mid to senior people, but that won't matter. It is sufficient for failure to occur simply by preventing new labor from entering the market. It will also be too late to develop people at the time people realize this.
The problem isn't in solving meaningful engineering challenges. Its with developing the basic skills needed to do that in the first place. You aren't expected to solve meaningful engineering challenges in an entry level position.
The danger isn't in AI taking over all of our jobs. The danger is in cutting the development pipeline off in such a way that cascading failures lead to cascading production failures. Like a dam break or avalanche, once triggered.
Most business people don't consider consequences longer than a 1-3 year period. Short term gains are always taken with long term losses locked in. Thats just part of the nature of fiat based inflationary economies. No effort or thought is given towards existential threats, without a corresponding loss of life.
Comments
This attitude neglects the nature of the professional development pipeline, and the front-loaded benefits companies receive from preferential debt so they don't have to react immediately to issues (they are decoupled).
The entry level tasks are tasks that are supervised by the mid to senior level people for correctness. Institutional knowledge and skills are passed on in these positions.
The tasks while simple, can be very easily solved in most cases at this level by AI. AI can easily replace these positions instead of having people.
In effect though, it removes any new people from entering that developmental pipeline. In so doing you remove the demand for such people lowering ROI, and create an economic incentive to not develop new people in that area, and this applies to everywhere that AI touches.
In the 3-year shelf life the business benefits from the reduction of labor costs.
The company can persist for a time thanks to financial engineering, but within 5-10 years, costs explode, demand for the mid to senior positions explodes because the pool of labor shrinks as people age out and die.
AI cannot replace the mid to senior people, but that won't matter. It is sufficient for failure to occur simply by preventing new labor from entering the market. It will also be too late to develop people at the time people realize this.
The problem isn't in solving meaningful engineering challenges. Its with developing the basic skills needed to do that in the first place. You aren't expected to solve meaningful engineering challenges in an entry level position.
The danger isn't in AI taking over all of our jobs. The danger is in cutting the development pipeline off in such a way that cascading failures lead to cascading production failures. Like a dam break or avalanche, once triggered.
Most business people don't consider consequences longer than a 1-3 year period. Short term gains are always taken with long term losses locked in. Thats just part of the nature of fiat based inflationary economies. No effort or thought is given towards existential threats, without a corresponding loss of life.
Safety rules are written in blood.