I agree, and I think the author would too - the key phrase in the headline being "Anytime Soon". I think he expects a breakthrough to happen - but remember that there's generally quite a bit of time between the initial breakthrough and its feasability for large-scale consumer applications. The first LCD display was created in 1972, and the first patent of the underlying technology was issued in 1936 to the Marconi Wireless Telegraph company. I don't remember seeing them in Wal-Marts until the late 90's at least.
The time stays the same since as ambition grows, the difficulty in prototyping and producing a product increases. Any gains made in rapid prototyping are offset by higher goals.
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I agree, and I think the author would too - the key phrase in the headline being "Anytime Soon". I think he expects a breakthrough to happen - but remember that there's generally quite a bit of time between the initial breakthrough and its feasability for large-scale consumer applications. The first LCD display was created in 1972, and the first patent of the underlying technology was issued in 1936 to the Marconi Wireless Telegraph company. I don't remember seeing them in Wal-Marts until the late 90's at least.
As we approach "the singularity" or whatever you want to call it, the idea->prototype->product dimension contracts quickly.
Do you have any evidence for this statement?
The time stays the same since as ambition grows, the difficulty in prototyping and producing a product increases. Any gains made in rapid prototyping are offset by higher goals.