Putting a time frame on the commoditization of particular technologies is really, really, really hard. Most of the big ASIC design shops (was at one for a few years) have to design a feature 2 - 3 years in advance and hope to god that it becomes standardized/commoditized to hit ROI. Even the big shops get it wrong sometimes. In which case they never ship it or just get surprised by someone who did it better or cheaper than they did.
But I agree, arguing something isn't possible is pretty short-sighted, but I'd like to mention it seems he's caveated these approaches with something to the effect of "today's technology and its trajectory." So in his opinion, the tech isn't being actively developed, thereby I think it'd be appropriate to say "impossible without intervention."
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Putting a time frame on the commoditization of particular technologies is really, really, really hard. Most of the big ASIC design shops (was at one for a few years) have to design a feature 2 - 3 years in advance and hope to god that it becomes standardized/commoditized to hit ROI. Even the big shops get it wrong sometimes. In which case they never ship it or just get surprised by someone who did it better or cheaper than they did.
But I agree, arguing something isn't possible is pretty short-sighted, but I'd like to mention it seems he's caveated these approaches with something to the effect of "today's technology and its trajectory." So in his opinion, the tech isn't being actively developed, thereby I think it'd be appropriate to say "impossible without intervention."