FWIW, to me it is "unsurprising" as I can't remember the last time a major psych study actually did replicate, and it seems frankly like the entire field is in shambles. Does that mean that I knew before that this study in specific was false? No. But, that isn't what anyone means when they say "unsurprising"! If you get to the end of a movie and all of the major characters end up alive, and someone else seemed shocked by that fact, you might still explain to them that that's "unsurprising", even if you yourself got to feel the thrill of uncertainty -- or even were concerned for a bit -- while you were watching.
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FWIW, to me it is "unsurprising" as I can't remember the last time a major psych study actually did replicate, and it seems frankly like the entire field is in shambles. Does that mean that I knew before that this study in specific was false? No. But, that isn't what anyone means when they say "unsurprising"! If you get to the end of a movie and all of the major characters end up alive, and someone else seemed shocked by that fact, you might still explain to them that that's "unsurprising", even if you yourself got to feel the thrill of uncertainty -- or even were concerned for a bit -- while you were watching.