I'm wondering which is worse: alarm fatigue and the next deadly event without a sufficient evacuation, or this event happening without an alarm. People die just from evacuating. Suppose there are 1 death/1e8 km traveled from car crashes, the average evacuation distance were 150 km, and 200k people relocated. The expectation is 0.3 people would die from the evacuation in car crashes. It's possible evacuations are more dangerous and chaotic, and more stressful to the elderly who are more likely to die for this reason rather than in an automotive collision.
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I'm wondering which is worse: alarm fatigue and the next deadly event without a sufficient evacuation, or this event happening without an alarm. People die just from evacuating. Suppose there are 1 death/1e8 km traveled from car crashes, the average evacuation distance were 150 km, and 200k people relocated. The expectation is 0.3 people would die from the evacuation in car crashes. It's possible evacuations are more dangerous and chaotic, and more stressful to the elderly who are more likely to die for this reason rather than in an automotive collision.