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That is a much lower complexity grade than I thought we would struggle with. Especially since we have decades of experience in solvers for rather large Boolean Satisfiability Problems, which seems like it could be adapted here.

bounded model checking is indeed a thing, but it's bounded

A few months back I spent a couple of hours writing a binary TM simulator (yes I know you can download them - I wanted to write one) and then spent a couple of weeks running various TMs for days on end...

They exhibit quite bizarre amounts of complexity for what are really simple structures - indeed some TMs have apparently been observed employing Collatz conjecture type behaviour.

awesome!

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