You never know if you are preaching to the choir or talking to yourself, it's almost insane.
"I've got everything I need to drive me crazy."
Just a minute ago I thought I saw a very stout lady wearing a Viking helmet looking like she was going to perform in the opera.
I guess not quite yet ;)
The only way for a company to have grown faster or bigger is if the founders would have held the majority of the actual stock the whole time.
Zuckerberg is the example I had been waiting for decades to point to, that nobody can deny.
He's a jolly good fellow.
If there is only one founder, odds are they don't have to be as formidable as either Woz or Jobs. As long as the founder holds the majority. The whole time. In some way or another.
You do want to grow fast & big don't you?
But probably not at all like Apple in any recognizable way, that would not be novel at all, too well-proven and risk-free ;)
they tried to follow The Apple Way, where 1.0 products need to be so insanely polished as to blow people away.
raised $230 Million and spent
Maybe more accurately re-stated as raised and spent $230 million.
Doesn't sound like following the Apple I remember as a startup, or any of the other startups I had studied beforehand as a young financial professional.
Could be considered a pivot in terms lots of tech operations do, if the business plan calls for raising $230 million, check; then spending $230 million, check! So far you're on track, if you pivot to the strategy of thriving on the cash flow from the operation of the business (wait, is this supposed to require a pivot?), and then get out now (ok, that's the pivot), you could consider it a complete success. It could happen, look at Wework.
No doubt for $230 million investors were entitled to more than an insanely polished 1.0 product because anybody that was not a financial black hole waiting to happen could have come up with some kind of something insanely polished for way less than half that much. With plenty in the pipeline to boot. Maybe only from obscure founders though, getting in on the ground floor may still be one of the best moves.
Maybe if they were only given one million a year they could have gotten more done with a century-long runway. If not, at least it would have only cost $100 million ;) Maybe the bleeding could have even been abated before then. I guess it depends on how formidable.
Even in today's dollars which are worth a fraction of what they were in the 1970's, with one million dollars, a generous capitalist can still make a favorable deal with two strong founders and you're off to the races with no place to go but up. Compared to any unfavorable terms at all which instantly turns the default mode into failure, with all following effort wisely focused on avoiding such a fate. But no way to focus on actually pursuing a thriving future. That's OK, when money is being thrown around so willy-nilly, somebody's going to get lucky eventually anyway.
In that kind of landscape you don't pay $230 million and have it be less than insane in some way.
Looks like that's how it came out.
Too bad a couple founders like Woz & Jobs wouldn't stand a chance getting funding in this cut-throat environment. OTOH Jobs was able to prevail at a time when money was much harder to come by. There's got to be some kind of disconnect somewhere.
Now I'm no recruiter, so it might take me a couple years, but I could surely locate 460 individuals that are as far above their peers as Woz & Jobs were, who are worth investing $230 million in, more than you normally find.
And without losing a dollar, by leveraging technology itself, after 6 years have no remaining debt.
Baseline.
And there are many people better at it than me, just say the word.
It could "probably" be done for less than $230 million. Just maybe.
Using a radically new or completely traditional businesslike approach.
Everything else is gravy. It's a no-brainer.
Sandofsky makes so much sense, but he does seem to be fairly well convinced about the original iPhone:
everything before the iPhone sucked.
He must have liked it way better than I did.
It didn't feel that way if you had the $500 Sony-Ericsson. When the iPhone came out the iPhone was not very smart by comparison. Sony had smarter phones a decade earlier, worked on regular desktop websites too without any special mobile consideration, even without a touch screen. Memory sticks for removable storage like nobody should ever have to do without. Easy-peasy remote monitoring of security cams on its "huge" 3 inch screen without any apps or cloud. Google Maps, Facebook, Java apps, email, etc. Perfectly readable on the deluxe small screen, not always ideal but there when you need it. At least the screen would never crack if you only dropped it a few times a year. HN was fine with only navigation buttons. Battery lasted weeks and one of the most brilliant features was still intact, you could pop in a replacement battery any time, and there was a separate charger for a stand-alone battery too. Just like normal. Most people truly weren't ready to pay for a top-shelf Sony. Touch screen and iOS or Android do not make a phone smart. Really made it less smart than alternatives. The smartest phones yet, by design, connected directly to a PC using USB or Bluetooth, with feature-rich phone-manufacturer software free for the download to install on the PC which can do way more than file management of the phone, and of course could get the PC on the internet without any software to begin with. Even on dial-up. Which was pretty good since most of the world didn't yet have 3G. When the iPhone came out it was only good in the big cities.
People were happy to switch to a smartphone, aside from $600 price tag which was hard to swallow.
Cellular features, and a touchscreen small enough to go everywhere in ways a netbook is not, where it's easier to include more interactive visuals in communications, can be a very hypnotic combination. Along with the payment plan that made it fly off the shelf.
If Sony had gotten there first with the touchscreen in stealth, then launched it to the best of their proven world-class formidable ability, it would have made the iPhone look a lot dumber. But it wouldn't have made any difference at all. Even if they would have been early, it was already too late to do any Apple-style launch, Sony didn't have a swinging founder remaining, and nobody who could step up to the plate with the gusto of a founder familiar with "total ownership and control" from the beginning. Jobs launched a whole novel paradigm like few others could, not just the evolutionary device that was going to come without him. Didn't Apple start out exactly this way?
If someone wants to make a new personal cellular device as smart as they can, the closer it performs to a miniature open-source PC, the smarter and more useful to intelligent people it would be. You would have to be able to put on any OS that you could to an x86 PC, and not have things unfavorably locked down from the user. But no matter how smart, you're still not going to be able to compete with Apple on their terms when 800lb gorillas have already been laid to rest.
A pair of founders now who are like Apple when it started could never get on the radar of a dedicated high-risk capitalist. Regardless of who some investors are looking for, what are they usually ending up with?
didn't have to be a knockout, they just had to be the last single person at the bar at closing time.[0]
Seems almost like a no-risk proposition, how does that make sense for an over-achieving capitalist?
Oh, I understand.
[0] And unbeknownst, the last man standing after the slideshow competition turns out to be what results in this type of selection. Backwards? You tell me. It gets worse, this is like a footnote
Founders pitch investors on a hand laser thing when it's a napkin sketch.
With no idea yet of what an AI pin is, this is where I find out that it is a product that actually contains a laser. Who knew? I've never been interested in what an AI pin was supposed to be, I just know what a million dollars is. At first I thought Sandofsky was talking about using a laser to point during a slideshow pitch, my bad. Now I get the idea that the wisest investor would be able to compare prospects using only a napkin sketch better than from a carefully crafted slideshow. Surely an average person could do that, why not anyone else? Well, you'd have to be sitting right next to each other on the same side of an almost unrecognizable negotiating table, and who wants that? It may just be a napkin sketch, but if you really want to build something insanely great, and go far, it seems like it would be best when everyone is facing the same direction the whole time rather than in opposition, as much as humanely possible.
Comments
There's a part 2?
You never know if you are preaching to the choir or talking to yourself, it's almost insane.
"I've got everything I need to drive me crazy."
Just a minute ago I thought I saw a very stout lady wearing a Viking helmet looking like she was going to perform in the opera.
I guess not quite yet ;)
The only way for a company to have grown faster or bigger is if the founders would have held the majority of the actual stock the whole time.
Zuckerberg is the example I had been waiting for decades to point to, that nobody can deny.
He's a jolly good fellow.
If there is only one founder, odds are they don't have to be as formidable as either Woz or Jobs. As long as the founder holds the majority. The whole time. In some way or another.
You do want to grow fast & big don't you?
But probably not at all like Apple in any recognizable way, that would not be novel at all, too well-proven and risk-free ;)
Maybe more accurately re-stated as raised and spent $230 million.
Doesn't sound like following the Apple I remember as a startup, or any of the other startups I had studied beforehand as a young financial professional.
Could be considered a pivot in terms lots of tech operations do, if the business plan calls for raising $230 million, check; then spending $230 million, check! So far you're on track, if you pivot to the strategy of thriving on the cash flow from the operation of the business (wait, is this supposed to require a pivot?), and then get out now (ok, that's the pivot), you could consider it a complete success. It could happen, look at Wework.
No doubt for $230 million investors were entitled to more than an insanely polished 1.0 product because anybody that was not a financial black hole waiting to happen could have come up with some kind of something insanely polished for way less than half that much. With plenty in the pipeline to boot. Maybe only from obscure founders though, getting in on the ground floor may still be one of the best moves.
Maybe if they were only given one million a year they could have gotten more done with a century-long runway. If not, at least it would have only cost $100 million ;) Maybe the bleeding could have even been abated before then. I guess it depends on how formidable.
Even in today's dollars which are worth a fraction of what they were in the 1970's, with one million dollars, a generous capitalist can still make a favorable deal with two strong founders and you're off to the races with no place to go but up. Compared to any unfavorable terms at all which instantly turns the default mode into failure, with all following effort wisely focused on avoiding such a fate. But no way to focus on actually pursuing a thriving future. That's OK, when money is being thrown around so willy-nilly, somebody's going to get lucky eventually anyway.
In that kind of landscape you don't pay $230 million and have it be less than insane in some way.
Looks like that's how it came out.
Too bad a couple founders like Woz & Jobs wouldn't stand a chance getting funding in this cut-throat environment. OTOH Jobs was able to prevail at a time when money was much harder to come by. There's got to be some kind of disconnect somewhere.
Now I'm no recruiter, so it might take me a couple years, but I could surely locate 460 individuals that are as far above their peers as Woz & Jobs were, who are worth investing $230 million in, more than you normally find.
And without losing a dollar, by leveraging technology itself, after 6 years have no remaining debt.
Baseline.
And there are many people better at it than me, just say the word.
It could "probably" be done for less than $230 million. Just maybe.
Using a radically new or completely traditional businesslike approach.
Everything else is gravy. It's a no-brainer.
Sandofsky makes so much sense, but he does seem to be fairly well convinced about the original iPhone:
He must have liked it way better than I did.
It didn't feel that way if you had the $500 Sony-Ericsson. When the iPhone came out the iPhone was not very smart by comparison. Sony had smarter phones a decade earlier, worked on regular desktop websites too without any special mobile consideration, even without a touch screen. Memory sticks for removable storage like nobody should ever have to do without. Easy-peasy remote monitoring of security cams on its "huge" 3 inch screen without any apps or cloud. Google Maps, Facebook, Java apps, email, etc. Perfectly readable on the deluxe small screen, not always ideal but there when you need it. At least the screen would never crack if you only dropped it a few times a year. HN was fine with only navigation buttons. Battery lasted weeks and one of the most brilliant features was still intact, you could pop in a replacement battery any time, and there was a separate charger for a stand-alone battery too. Just like normal. Most people truly weren't ready to pay for a top-shelf Sony. Touch screen and iOS or Android do not make a phone smart. Really made it less smart than alternatives. The smartest phones yet, by design, connected directly to a PC using USB or Bluetooth, with feature-rich phone-manufacturer software free for the download to install on the PC which can do way more than file management of the phone, and of course could get the PC on the internet without any software to begin with. Even on dial-up. Which was pretty good since most of the world didn't yet have 3G. When the iPhone came out it was only good in the big cities.
Cellular features, and a touchscreen small enough to go everywhere in ways a netbook is not, where it's easier to include more interactive visuals in communications, can be a very hypnotic combination. Along with the payment plan that made it fly off the shelf.
If Sony had gotten there first with the touchscreen in stealth, then launched it to the best of their proven world-class formidable ability, it would have made the iPhone look a lot dumber. But it wouldn't have made any difference at all. Even if they would have been early, it was already too late to do any Apple-style launch, Sony didn't have a swinging founder remaining, and nobody who could step up to the plate with the gusto of a founder familiar with "total ownership and control" from the beginning. Jobs launched a whole novel paradigm like few others could, not just the evolutionary device that was going to come without him. Didn't Apple start out exactly this way?
If someone wants to make a new personal cellular device as smart as they can, the closer it performs to a miniature open-source PC, the smarter and more useful to intelligent people it would be. You would have to be able to put on any OS that you could to an x86 PC, and not have things unfavorably locked down from the user. But no matter how smart, you're still not going to be able to compete with Apple on their terms when 800lb gorillas have already been laid to rest.
A pair of founders now who are like Apple when it started could never get on the radar of a dedicated high-risk capitalist. Regardless of who some investors are looking for, what are they usually ending up with?
Seems almost like a no-risk proposition, how does that make sense for an over-achieving capitalist?
Oh, I understand.
[0] And unbeknownst, the last man standing after the slideshow competition turns out to be what results in this type of selection. Backwards? You tell me. It gets worse, this is like a footnote
With no idea yet of what an AI pin is, this is where I find out that it is a product that actually contains a laser. Who knew? I've never been interested in what an AI pin was supposed to be, I just know what a million dollars is. At first I thought Sandofsky was talking about using a laser to point during a slideshow pitch, my bad. Now I get the idea that the wisest investor would be able to compare prospects using only a napkin sketch better than from a carefully crafted slideshow. Surely an average person could do that, why not anyone else? Well, you'd have to be sitting right next to each other on the same side of an almost unrecognizable negotiating table, and who wants that? It may just be a napkin sketch, but if you really want to build something insanely great, and go far, it seems like it would be best when everyone is facing the same direction the whole time rather than in opposition, as much as humanely possible.