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Comment on The danger of the mediocre success when testing startup hypotheses (2023)

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His point is that when it's only halfway working you're not sure how much more effort to put in because you're not sure how it's going to pay off.

With a clear definition of success, halfway working is, by definition, failing.

You can always clearly define your way to anything you want to think

Or an isolated success that makes you double down on what was essentially a fluke.

I agree this is a “bad end”, but I don’t think we can fault ourselves for flukes. Sometimes you play your poker hand _perfectly_ given all the information you have, and a random stranger just has better cards against all odds. I think you just have to be ready to accept some flukes, and continue to make the best decision with the info you have

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