Skip to content

Comment on IOS app success is a lottery: 60% (or more) of developers don't break even

Comments

This is wrong in two levels:

"Success is a lottery" means that all apps are of the same quality, polish, usefulness or wow factor, etc, and only chance determines the success.

What they probably meant to say is that success is RARE (something different than "lottery"), and occasionally unpredictable -- but is not "chance", as to be a lottery. Even the unpredictable hits have explanations (e.g. users liked their concept --even if was just fart noises--, they got a good review, etc), while lottery is pure chance.

"Success on the app store is like a poker game" would be far more correct.

Also: in actual lotteries, FAR MORE than 60% of participants don't break even. That's how lotteries make money.

I agree. Lottery is probably the wrong term.

AboutSource Built by g1lg1l

Hackerly is an independent reader for Hacker News, built on the public HN API. Not affiliated with Y Combinator.