Comment on Ask HN: Tech Forecasts for 2024 – Any Surprises on the Horizon?parentComments−traverseda2yThat seems less likely than rapidly self improving AI, or AI that just doesn't work too good.Why do you think AI will be able to do most tasks, but not improve itself? Unless you have a different understanding of "most tasks" than I do.−dartos2yOur current method for making AI is largely a dataset creation problem.An AI can’t just make meaningful data out of nowhere. It needs to have seen that data before.As it stands, it can’t improve itself since it’s ability is restricted to what data it has seen.−Havoc2yI do think it’ll improve itself. Just not singularity like fast.A bit like a child learning doesn’t make it an Einstein overnighEventually it’ll pick up pace but not in 2024
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That seems less likely than rapidly self improving AI, or AI that just doesn't work too good.
Why do you think AI will be able to do most tasks, but not improve itself? Unless you have a different understanding of "most tasks" than I do.
Our current method for making AI is largely a dataset creation problem.
An AI can’t just make meaningful data out of nowhere. It needs to have seen that data before.
As it stands, it can’t improve itself since it’s ability is restricted to what data it has seen.
I do think it’ll improve itself. Just not singularity like fast.
A bit like a child learning doesn’t make it an Einstein overnigh
Eventually it’ll pick up pace but not in 2024