AI though promises to be the universal automation, i.e. it can do any job.
An AI can't do any job that requires a body, so clearly that isn't true.
If you mean mental jobs, this could be true in the future, but right now, it's hard to say. You can imagine scenarios where an AI does 95% of a job but a human is still required for the last 5% (without which the first 95% is useless).
These tools are recent, but not THAT recent. GPT3 is nearly 4 years old, Copilot is 2 years old, ChatGPT is a year old, GPT4 is 8 months old. No large-scale employment changes resulting from AI are visible so far.
an AI does 95% of a job but a human is still required for the last 5%
This is the kind of scenario I was talking about in my initial comment.
The naive assumption about this scenario is that it would result in 95% of jobs disappearing, but based on history it's more likely that we just do 2000% more stuff with the same amount of human effort.
And if AI really replaces 100% of human labor, are we really going to retain an economic system that only works when humans are doing labor?
Comments
An AI can't do any job that requires a body, so clearly that isn't true.
If you mean mental jobs, this could be true in the future, but right now, it's hard to say. You can imagine scenarios where an AI does 95% of a job but a human is still required for the last 5% (without which the first 95% is useless).
These tools are recent, but not THAT recent. GPT3 is nearly 4 years old, Copilot is 2 years old, ChatGPT is a year old, GPT4 is 8 months old. No large-scale employment changes resulting from AI are visible so far.
This is the kind of scenario I was talking about in my initial comment. The naive assumption about this scenario is that it would result in 95% of jobs disappearing, but based on history it's more likely that we just do 2000% more stuff with the same amount of human effort.
And if AI really replaces 100% of human labor, are we really going to retain an economic system that only works when humans are doing labor?
No reason they wouldn’t be provide physical bodies eventually.