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Comment on the West can no longer make warparent

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China may be making plans if wars come their way. They'd be stupidly negligent not to do so. But they will be avoiding war for at least another decade unless forced into one. That will be foolishly and mistakenly construed as weakness by the West.

But in fact, China is steadily progressing on its way. It's an arithmetical certainty that in a few years, China will take over the 'Number One ' slot. Why would China have a war with anybody? That would only slow them down. And sooner or later, Taiwan will see which way will be more advantageous for them and will merge with China peacefully. (As with West and East Germany in the 1990s).

On the other hand, It's the US that can only slow the Chinese down by going to war to prevent the US losing the 'Number One' slot. How can it be 'exceptional' if it's not 'Number One'? And to initiate a war with China, there has to be some sort of casus-belli. Taiwan currently is a reasonably good candidate for this, as was done with Ukraine from about 2014 on.

The problem the US has with China is that China has more manufacturing capacity and more men of military-age than the whole of the West combined. To ensure victory in a war with China, the US needed to have started the conflict back around 2020 when the US was stronger and China was weaker. The US has missed that bus. It is too late. It can not win against China now.

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