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Comment on Ask HN: What are your optimistic takes on the SWE job market post AI?

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Imagine if every businesses had access to teams of Google’s best, perfectly aligned with their goals. This opens up so many possibilities. For the vast majority of businesses, software is a cost center not a core competency. There’s so many projects that are simply too cost prohibitive right now.

Your fundamental assumption is that there’s a finite amount of software work. Had this been the case we’d have seen signs of it plateauing over the last 50 years. Until we have true AGI, LLM’s are just an another tool to increase what humans are capable of. Historically this means humans just ask for more stuff.

Imagine if every businesses had access to teams of Google’s best, perfectly aligned with their goals.

You'd have to train it on code written by Google's very best, which is presumably only something Google could do. If you train a model off of github and the like, you're including things like student homework assignments.

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