Comment on AGI Doom and the Drake EquationparentComments−nh23423fefe3ySure, have a different prior if you think those assumptions are relevant. i don't P(what if we're first?) ~ 0 P(or FTL travel isn't possible in our universe?) ~ 1−pas3ythe Grabby Aliens argument is pretty good in establishing why it's likely that we're first-ish. are you familiar with that? or you think it's not convincing? (why?)−blibble3ywhat's your basis for these assumptions?−nh23423fefe3yUniform distribution of appearance of life over stars.Special relativity.
Comments
Sure, have a different prior if you think those assumptions are relevant. i don't
the Grabby Aliens argument is pretty good in establishing why it's likely that we're first-ish. are you familiar with that? or you think it's not convincing? (why?)
what's your basis for these assumptions?
Uniform distribution of appearance of life over stars.
Special relativity.