AI has failed to automate driving. (Despite enormous efforts)
Sure, if you consider this an all-or-nothing boolean, the OP is right.
However, AI has automated many driving tasks and outperforms the average human: take parallel parking, for example. Not an incredibly difficult task, but it's one where our modest AI absolutely outperforms the average human.
Similarly, the precursor to AI, autocomplete, can at times outperform the average human programmer. AI-enabled autocomplete (e.g., GitHub Copilot, etc.) almost consistently can outperform the average human programmer.
Defining the goal as "AI completely replacing programmers" is not a useful goal.
Defining the goal as "AI making the below-average programmer useful if they learn to use AI-enabled tools, and making the below-average programmer obsolete if they refuse to" is very pragmatic, and AI is practically there.
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Sure, if you consider this an all-or-nothing boolean, the OP is right.
However, AI has automated many driving tasks and outperforms the average human: take parallel parking, for example. Not an incredibly difficult task, but it's one where our modest AI absolutely outperforms the average human.
Similarly, the precursor to AI, autocomplete, can at times outperform the average human programmer. AI-enabled autocomplete (e.g., GitHub Copilot, etc.) almost consistently can outperform the average human programmer.
Defining the goal as "AI completely replacing programmers" is not a useful goal.
Defining the goal as "AI making the below-average programmer useful if they learn to use AI-enabled tools, and making the below-average programmer obsolete if they refuse to" is very pragmatic, and AI is practically there.