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Comment on Report: Apple plans to support sideloading and third-party app stores by 2024

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This will cut revenue. If twitter-class apps move, and if Apple cannot contract enforce the 30% cut on some component of payment. So, I expect some reaction in terms of future earnings from this.

This will weaken the defences of the walled garden, unless Apple mark-sweep the 3rd party stores. If you value a walled garden, and some people do, then the walls got lower. This isn't necessarily good.

I expect to see ringfences go up: Safari and Mail and like apps may well stop doing open file on content from side loaded apps, if they can't prove they are safe. (proof.. whatever that means)

twitter class apps on android can be sideloaded today. What %age of users actually sideload them vs getting them through the play store. i.e. how many of these apps actually provide an apk to install directly.

I sort of get what I think is your point, user behaviour here is probably modelled on what happens in a domain similar to the one under discussion.

But Apple experience has been far more constrained and it's single source with almost no prior of sideloading. They're a different set. I am less sure how any sideload in Android or install alternate marketplaces is informing, maybe it's the best information we have.

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