I was thinking the same about widespread trucking jobs 5 years ago.
There's a recurring theme in neural networks. You can go from nothing to 90% in a year. And it's amazing. That naturally leads you to believe that perfection is little more than a bit more compute and a bit more massaging the data.
Then over the next year you manage to get to 95%, further affirming your beliefs. But from then on every single fraction of a percent becomes exponentially more difficult. And it soon becomes clear that there's an apparently insurmountable asymptote long before you get anywhere near 100%.
Trucking is all or nothing - once self-driving cars are working and legal, those jobs are gone.
AI art is not - jobs are already being lost in real time, users can create stock photos, logos, bespoke art right now. And more and more jobs will be lost as the AI improves.
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Guaranteed that company won't exist in five years
I was thinking the same about widespread trucking jobs 5 years ago.
There's a recurring theme in neural networks. You can go from nothing to 90% in a year. And it's amazing. That naturally leads you to believe that perfection is little more than a bit more compute and a bit more massaging the data.
Then over the next year you manage to get to 95%, further affirming your beliefs. But from then on every single fraction of a percent becomes exponentially more difficult. And it soon becomes clear that there's an apparently insurmountable asymptote long before you get anywhere near 100%.
There are more trucking jobs than ever today.
Trucking is all or nothing - once self-driving cars are working and legal, those jobs are gone.
AI art is not - jobs are already being lost in real time, users can create stock photos, logos, bespoke art right now. And more and more jobs will be lost as the AI improves.