Comment on Astronomers in China Claim Possible Detection of Extraterrestrial CivilizationsparentComments−WithinReason4yIt was never aliens before, so the prior is very strong−suifbwish4yWouldn’t the probability that the next time it would be aliens increase every time it turns out to not be aliens−WithinReason4yActually it would decrease
Comments
It was never aliens before, so the prior is very strong
Wouldn’t the probability that the next time it would be aliens increase every time it turns out to not be aliens
Actually it would decrease