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Comment on Paul Graham predicts food shortages

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"A farmer friend told me the same thing is happening in the UK. The cost of fertilizer has gone up so much due to the Ukraine War that some farmers are not even planting."

Actually, fertilizer shortages were already a thing before the war started. As I understand it, it's related to high costs of natural gas (which is used to make some types of fertilizer). Also, Russia is a major exporter of fertilizer and they've been restricting exports for awhile (possibly to secure their own food supply).

The war in Ukraine certainly doesn't help the food situation though. Ukraine is a major food producer. It seems like the world on track for some expensive food for the next year or so, which will disproportionately affect people from poorer countries.

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